Non è nemmeno probabile che il clima migliorerà.

Questions & Answers about Non è nemmeno probabile che il clima migliorerà.

Why is migliorerà in the future indicative? Doesn't è probabile che usually require the subjunctive?
Yes, expressions of probability like è probabile che normally trigger the subjunctive. However, when the action in the dependent clause will happen in the future compared to the main clause (a concept called "posteriority"), Italian uses the future indicative. Since the climate improving is a future event, we use migliorerà instead of the present subjunctive.
Could I use the present subjunctive here anyway?
You can! In everyday Italian, it is very common to use the present subjunctive to talk about the future if the context makes it obvious. Saying Non è nemmeno probabile che il clima migliori is completely correct and very natural to hear.
Why is it il clima and not la clima?
Even though clima ends in -a, it is a masculine noun. It belongs to a specific group of Italian words of Greek origin ending in -ma that are masculine, just like il problema, il sistema, and il programma.
What is the role of nemmeno here, and can I use a different word?
Nemmeno means "not even." Notice how it pairs with non at the beginning of the sentence to form a double negative (Non è nemmeno...), which is grammatically required in Italian when a negative word comes after the verb. You could also swap it with its exact synonyms neanche or neppure.

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