Er ist meistens pünktlich, aber heute verspätet er sich wohl.

From Lesson 460:Assumptions (wohl)·German

Questions & Answers about Er ist meistens pünktlich, aber heute verspätet er sich wohl.

Why is wohl translated as "probably" here instead of "well"?
In this sentence, wohl acts as a modal particle (a "flavor" word) rather than the adverb meaning "well". When used as a modal particle, wohl expresses a strong assumption or high probability. The speaker is guessing that he is delayed, based on the context that he is normally on time.
Could we use the future tense to make this assumption, like ...wird er sich wohl verspäten?
Yes, you could say aber heute wird er sich wohl verspäten. In German, the future tense (werden + infinitive) is often used to express assumptions about the present. However, as this lesson shows, native speakers frequently just use the present tense combined with a particle like wohl to express the exact same assumption. It is shorter and very natural.
Why is the word order verspätet er sich instead of er verspätet sich in the second half of the sentence?
This is because of the adverb heute. The conjunction aber takes "position 0" (it doesn't affect word order). Then heute takes position 1 in the second clause. Because German strictly requires the conjugated verb in position 2, the verb verspätet must come next, pushing the subject er to position 3.
Why use the reflexive verb sich verspäten instead of just saying er ist spät?
While er ist zu spät (he is too late) describes a fixed state, the reflexive verb sich verspäten emphasizes the event of getting delayed or running late. It implies that something is actively holding him up right now.

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