Casual probability (lo mismo)

Maybe, just maybe

You likely know that lo mismo translates to "the same". However, in everyday conversation in Spain, it is frequently used to mean "maybe" or "might" when making a casual guess. Because it expresses a spontaneous, colloquial prediction rather than deep doubt, it is followed by the indicative mood.

You can use it to guess what might happen with a meetup (la quedada), like if plans go wrong (torcerse) or if a sudden rain shower (el chubasco) ruins the afternoon.

Maybe the meetup will go wrong.
Lo mismo la quedada se tuerce.
Maybe a shower will fall this afternoon.
Lo mismo cae un chubasco esta tarde.

Bailing on plans

When making casual predictions about social lives, you might guess that someone will cancel. Use the reflexive verb rajarse when someone gets cold feet or bails on a plan.

If they go a step further and completely stand you up, use the expression dar plantón (to stand someone up).

If it rains, maybe he will back out of the meetup.
Si llueve, lo mismo se raja de la quedada.
Maybe they will back out and stand us up.
Lo mismo se rajan y nos dan plantón.

Good vibes only

Not all guesses are pessimistic! You can also use lo mismo to predict a great time. To describe an amazing plan, add the amplifying suffix -azo to plan to get el planazo.

You might guess that a friend will join in (apuntarse) for an afternoon of drinks and socializing (el tardeo), where you can usually expect an incredible atmosphere (el ambientazo).

Maybe my sister will join the afternoon outing later.
Lo mismo mi hermana se apunta al tardeo luego.
Maybe there is an amazing atmosphere at the party.
Lo mismo hay un ambientazo en la fiesta.

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